Monday, April 14, 2008

Latest Poll Shows Hillary Up By 20% In PA

Here is the poll.

The numbers are Clinton 57%, Obama 37% with undecided at 4% and other at 2%. But another poll that can be offered as material, is this one.

10% of all likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 24% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.


No doubt there's some measure of blowback going on here, mainly rooted in the "bitter" remarks Obama recently made. But I am not altogether sure how accurate this particular poll is. Obama's support is probably a bit stronger than it reflects and he most likely will still end up winning the nomination. This is certainly a valid assumption when one factors in, national polls.

But I seriously think the damage has already been done to his campaign. And as a result of missteps like this, it's becoming more and more doubtful that he can sustain his current level of popularity in the general election campaign. Furthermore, Obama is beginning to sound more like the "king of elitists", John Kerry. And we know the outcome of that farce of a campaign.

The problem is now two-fold. Genuine people of any political persuasion do not like arrogant patricians, they do not being treated as peasants or plebians. Not only is his "upper crust snobby" comments irritating to average Americans, his two-faced double talk isn't helping his cause either. No one likes being deceived, especially at the same time they are being talked down to. What Obama's handlers are not factoring in is simple, the average people outnumber the elite classes exponentially. Only elitists embrace other elitists, so he may want to reassess his approach a bit and crunch some numbers.

If this isn't registering yet, then let's consider another angle.

Obama tells the nation in speech after speech that he wants to unite this country. Furthermore, He he tells us all he wants to unite classes, cultures, and races under some wonderful panacea he calls an "Obama Presidency" Then in turn, he tells a bunch of elitists in SF that small town America finds some kind of dysfunctional solace in religions and guns - all behind closed doors where he thinks no one will hear it.

Now, you can correct me if you think I am wrong, but this isn't exactly embracing people that helped defeat Kerry in 2004. In fact, put this with the racist connections and you may find an even larger disconnect with the American electorate. (See: Howard Dean's comments on embracing guys with pickups and confederate flags.)


In short, it becomes an issue of a man's sin finding him out. Things like this have a funny way coming back to haunt a person. If a person talks to people out in the open in one manner and is overheard speaking about some of those same people in a another, what's that tell us? If we had a co-worker that did this, we'd call them a back-stabbing hypocrite.

So keep talking Barry, people are learning much from your speeches and how you approach the important topics. Every veil lifted gives us a clearer and clearer picture. President McCain will thank you for it and your country will thank you for it.

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