Friday, April 25, 2008

Some Indiana Polling Data

The Indy Star has a new poll out for Indiana's upcoming primary.

You can check the entire article out if you are inclined, but there is one part I'd like to highlight. The part of the poll I'd like to discuss shows something slightly surprising. If the election were held today and it was between Obama and McCain, here are the numbers:

Obama - 49%

McCain - 41%

Undecided - 10%

Sample size was 384.
Margin of error was +/- 5 points.


Indiana has not voted for a Democrat since 1964. It is likely that this was not a good sample and was certainly not reflective of the total population's demographic composition. Unless others are produced that show these kinds of numbers, I am greatly inclined to not put too much stock in this one.

But if this is not an anomaly, McCain will need to do something to reverse this. There is certainly some possibility these are wind drafts from Obama being the Senator from next-door. And they could be polling heavily from Lake (Gary/Hammond/East Chicago) and Marion (Indy) Counties.

Even yet, if these numbers were to pan out as accurate, he might want to look at picking a running mate from the state. One name that stands out is a young man, is relatively clean (for a politician), and can help shore up some more of the conservative base (that may still be sour about the nominee). His name is Mike Pence from Indiana's 6th district.


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