The Boston Globe has an interesting article analyzing the rationale behind John McCain's commencement speech, at Jerry Falwell's Liberty University.
Let's not fool ourselves here. Not only does McCain need the religious right, they need him too. If the Republicans want to have as close to an assurance they will retain control of the White House as they possibly can, John McCain is their best bet. And many on the right know it.
But that does not mean, no one can win but him. They can. But, they will have a more difficult time of it, mainly because of McCain's appeal to centrists on both side of the aisle. Not all Republicans could have that kind of effect, many are polarizing figures (whether the distinction is deserved or not). And, many just don't stand the chance of standing up to the test of running against the Dems' "leftist" or "leftist-turned-centrist-for-the-election" candidate, because of the anti-incumbency sentiment that is growing.
Maybe, just maybe, Jerry Falwell realizes there are a lot of things that could be worse than a John McCain presidency. Maybe his fear of a Hillary White House will cause him to think twice about digging into a trench on certain things, in 2008.